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Since military strikes targeting Iran’s leadership began on Saturday, the Trump administration has provided several explanations to justify its campaign, although has refrained from explicitly mentioning a change in leadership as a clear-cut goal—despite its outcome so far effectively amounting to a decapitation. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump claimed initial strikes had killed as many as 48 members of Iran’s leadership, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
Mathieu Utting, global gas and LNG analyst for Rystad Energy, told Fortune the massive Middle Eastern energy disruption would have been much worse at the beginning of winter when gas heating demand was rising.